Risk perceptions and nutrient management responses in the Australian sugar industry: preliminary results from the Herbert River district
By Johnson, AKL
A large gap exists in the knowledge and understanding of the attitudes which
sugar producers have toward risk, and in particular, the effect that risk has on the use
of agricultural chemicals and fertilisers in the sugar industry. Typically, farm level
risk analyses have used price and yield variability almost exclusively to represent
risk. Results from a survey of 120 sugar producers in the Herbert River district
indicated that a broad range of sources of variability such as soil type, crop class,
weather and variety is considered in nutrient management strategies. Producers also
used a variety of management responses to variability. These included method and
timing of fertiliser application, irrigation, drainage, trash retention and green
manuring.
These preliminary results have important implications for research, extension
and policy programs. In particular, there is strong evidence to suggest that a number
of criteria used by decision makers to develop nutrient management strategies vary
across geographic regions within a cane growing district and among farms within
each geographic region. The design of fertiliser recommendation· strategies and
extension programs must account for geographic variability at a higher spatial level
than presently. exists. So risk models which consider only sugar price and yield
variability, underestimate the importance of other sources of risk in the decision
making process.